By: Nyima Sillah
US-based Gambian political scientist, Professor Lamin Keita, has predicted that the ruling National People’s Party (NPP) will likely win the 2026 presidential elections if opposition parties fail to unite and address internal problems.
In an exclusive interview with The Voice, Professor Keita said growing disunity among key opposition parties is weakening their effectiveness and creating doubt in the minds of voters, stressing that leadership disputes, lack of direction, and public disagreements are pushing ordinary citizens away and giving the ruling party an advantage.
“If the opposition does not come together and do their homework, they risk giving the election to the incumbent by default,” he said.
Professor Keita stressed that the power of incumbency in African politics should not be underestimated, as the ruling parties usually have access to state resources, equipment, and influence, which makes it hard for a divided opposition to compete fairly.
He also raised concerns about the formation of new political parties without strong support bases, describing it as a growing trend used by some individuals for personal benefit rather than national development. This, he said, only leads to further division among voters and distracts from real policy issues.
Professor Keita also highlighted the importance of electoral reforms, particularly around voter registration and transparency, asserting that the current system needs improvement to ensure a level playing field and avoid manipulation during the election.
He further warned about the dangers of tribal and ethnic politics, saying such practices divide the nation and make it harder for opposition parties to gain the trust of all Gambians, noting that politicians must stop fueling tribal sentiments and instead focus on national unity.
The political scientist said opposition leaders should learn from examples in other African countries, such as Senegal, where parties have managed to put personal interests aside and support a common candidate for the sake of the nation.
He called on party leaders to organize internal meetings to resolve issues, build trust, and present a united front, stressing that without unity, the opposition risks losing not only the election but also public confidence. “The time for division is over, and opposition groups must act fast if they want to bring change in 2026,” Prof Keita emphasized.